2010 Big West Conference Tournament Preview

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/09/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 35th annual Big West Conference Tournament will once again take place at the Anaheim Convention Center Arena for a tenth straight season. The bottom four seeds of the eight-team field will take part in first-round action on Wednesday. The top two seeds receive byes all the way to Friday's semifinal round, while the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds get a bye to the quarterfinals on Thursday.

The winner of the tournament receives an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. Last season, top-seeded Cal State Northridge defeated third-seeded Pacific in overtime, 71-66, to advance to the "Big Dance" for the first time in nine years.

UC Santa Barbara (20-10) won the Big West regular-season title with a 12-4 mark in league play this year. As the top seed in this tournament, the Gauchos will play the lowest remaining seed in the semifinals on Friday. UCSB's only BWC title came in 2002, and the Gauchos have a 13-25 record in this event all- time. They wrapped up this season by winning seven of their final eight games. UCSB is led by Orlando Johnson, who tops the league with 18.0 ppg.

The No. 2 seed belongs to the Pacific Tigers (20-10, 12-4), who have captured a Big West-best four tournament titles, most recently in 2006. The Tigers' 27 tournament wins are also tops in the league. They'll face the highest remaining seed in the semis. First-Team All-Big West forward Joe Ford was named the conference's Defensive Player of the Year, while Sam Willard compiles 11.1 points and 8.1 rebounds per contest. The Tigers closed out the regular season with a three-game win streak.

Holding down the No. 3 seed are the Long Beach State 49ers (15-15, 8-8), who are tied with Pacific with four tournament titles, the latest of which came in 2007. LBSU will face the lowest remaining seed in Thursday's quarterfinal round. T.J. Robinson headlines the group, as he averages a double-double with 15.7 points and 10.3 rebounds per tilt. Robinson, a 52.2 percent shooter from the floor, earned First-Team All-Big West honors this season. Long Beach State wrapped up its schedule by winning three of its final four games, with the lone loss coming at Pacific two weeks ago.

The No. 4 seed belongs to the UC Davis Aggies (13-17, 8-8), who have a 1-1 record all-time in the BWC Tournament. The Aggies have not won more than two games in a row since opening their league slate back in early-January. Dominic Calegari leads the team with 16.7 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, while Joe Harden is averaging 14.1 points and 7.1 boards per tilt. UC Davis will take on the highest remaining seed on Thursday.

First-round action will get started on Wednesday, with the fifth-seeded Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-14, 8-8) taking on No. 8 seed Cal State Northridge (11-20, 6-10). These teams split the season series, with the visiting squad winning each meeting. Fullerton won in a 113-112 triple-overtime thriller when they last met on February 13th.

Fullerton closed its schedule with back-to-back home losses to Pacific (70-64) and UC Davis (92-86). This past Saturday, the Titans took UC Davis to overtime when Jacques Streeter drained a game-tying three-pointer with nine seconds remaining in regulation. But in the extra session, the Aggies knocked down back-to-back-to-back threes to swing the momentum. Three-point shooting was the difference in the game, as UC Davis knocked down 12-of-21 treys, while the Titans shot just 6-of-21 from the perimeter. Streeter and Gerard Anderson scored 23 apiece to pace Fullerton, while Devon Peltier added 20 points off the bench. Jer'Vaughn Johnson recorded a double-double with 14 points and 11 boards in the losing effort. Five different Titans average double figures this season, including three who tally at least 11 points and six boards per contest.

The Matadors won this tournament last season, but for a repeat they'll have to win four games in four nights. Twelve of the Matadors' games this season have been decided by five points or less, though they are just 4-8 in those contests. They closed out the year with losses in four of their final five games. This past Saturday, Northridge put up little fight in a 66-47 loss at home to Pacific. Kenny Daniels scored a team-high 17 points in the setback, while Willie Galick finished with 13 points. However, their supporting cast didn't offer much, as the Matadors went 1-of-15 from beyond the arc and shot a combined 32.7 percent from the floor. Daniels leads the team with 15.6 ppg, while Lenny Daniel (11.7 ppg, 7.8 rpg) and Galick (10.0 ppg, 4.8 rpg) have been steady contributors.

Later in Wednesday night's first-round action, the sixth-seeded Cal Poly Mustangs (11-18, 7-9) will tangle with No. 7 seed UC Irvine (14-17, 6-10). These teams closed out the regular season against one another this past weekend, with Irvine claiming a 91-84 overtime victory at Cal Poly. Earlier this season, the Mustangs notched a 95-81 win over the Anteaters.

The Mustangs are led by First-Team All-Big West guard Lorenzo Keeler, an 85.8 percent foul shooter who averages 16.0 ppg. Shawn Lewis is next in line with 12.0 ppg, followed by David Hanson with 10.4 ppg. The team lost leading rebounder and starting center Will Donahue (11.8 ppg, 8.8 rpg) in late- December due to eligibility issues. As for the Anteaters, they boast three double-digit scorers who have started every game this year, led by Eric Wise with 16.4 points and 6.4 rebounds per tilt. Rounding out that trio are Michael Hunter (14.0 ppg) and Darren Moore (10.9 ppg).

The Anteaters put together an improbable comeback to beat Cal Poly on Saturday, as they overcame an eight-point deficit in the final minute of regulation. Had the Anteaters lost that game, they would not have made the field for this tournament. With 0.9 seconds remaining in regulation, Darren Moore hit a fadeaway three-pointer from the corner to send the game into overtime, his second trey of the final nine seconds. UCI took control in the extra session, and Moore went on to score a career-high 24 points. The Anteaters got off to an ugly start, making only one of their first 18 field- goal attempts. Still, UCI trailed by only five at halftime. Both teams shot just 36 percent from the floor for the game.

Joining Moore in double figures for UCI was Patrick Rembert with 20 points. Michael Hunter scored 19 for the Anteaters, while Eric Wise finished with 17. For Cal Poly, Shawn Lewis led the way with 26 points and 10 rebounds. Keeler scored 21, Kyle Odister added 16 points, and David Hanson recorded a double- double with 11 points and 10 boards.

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MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?

Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite.  Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight.  With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites.  As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).

Midwest

#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler

The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April.  Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT.  After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games.  Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season.  As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers.  Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS).  Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field.  With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.

#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV

As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year.  If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season.  As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well.  This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons.  Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late.  There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games.  It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.

East

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown

“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season.  Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU.  They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games.  With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field.  Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense.  Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc.  The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range.  Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.

#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC

The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country.  Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times.  Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter.  UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen.  UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS.  An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games.  This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS.  USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types.  An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough.  USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS.  They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12.  When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.

With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action.  Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at this sportsbook “Betting Trends”.  By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.

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